CDC Updates COVID-19 Risk Factors

June 25, 2020 — With COVID-19 cases rising in younger Americans, the CDC had a clear message for all adults Thursday: When it comes to age, there’s no bright line for risk.

“There’s not an exact cutoff of age at which people should or should not be concerned,” Jay Butler, MD, said at a news briefing. Butler is the CDC’s deputy director of infectious diseases.

After analyzing cases across the U.S., the CDC announced updates to the characteristics that seem to leave people vulnerable to the worst COVID-19 outcomes: hospital stays, intensive care, and death.

For starters, it got rid of the age category “65 and older.” Instead, under the tab “People Who Need Extra Precautions,” there’s a category called “Older Adults.”

The page now explains that risk from a COVID-19 infection increases with advancing age. In general, people in their 50s are at a higher risk than people in their 40s. Likewise, people in their 60s and 70s are at a higher risk than those who are in their 50s.

“We know that risk is a continuum. It’s not just risk to those ages 65 and older,” said CDC Director Robert Redfield, MD.

The CDC has also updated the list of health conditions that make a person more likely to have severe outcomes from COVID-19.

Conditions in which there’s strong evidence of increased risk include:

  • Chronic kidney disease
  • Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD), like emphysema
  • People with lower immune health because of a solid organ transplant
  • Obesity — those with a BMI greater than 30
  • Serious heart conditions like heart failure and coronary artery disease
  • Sickle cell disease
  • Type 2 diabetes

Conditions that might place a person at a greater risk for a severe outcome from COVID-19 are:

  • Asthma
  • Dementia
  • Cerebrovascular diseases, such as stroke
  • Cystic fibrosis
  • High blood pressure
  • Lower immune health
  • Pregnancy
  • Liver disease
  • Scarring in the lungs (pulmonary fibrosis)
  • Smoking
  • Type 1 diabetes
  • Thalassemia (a blood disorder)

The revisions call into question the role of high blood pressure (hypertension), which was flagged early on as a risk factor among severe cases in China.